Tech Sector Outlook
The new year marks as good occasion as any for updating portfolios to reflect expected market conditions in the year ahead. Here, our equity analysts have compiled a list of predictions for the Information Technology sector for 2012.
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We think the semiconductor segment will witness a strong sequential rebound in orders during the first three quarters of 2012. e cigarettes
We see the introduction of “ultrabook” laptops and the release of Windows 8 as catalysts for the industry. Conversely, we think the semiconductor equipment segment will experience a 10% decline in capital spending for 2012.
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Nonetheless, we see demand bottoming following recent declines in sequential orders of more than 40%.
We predict that Google (GOOG) will complete the acquisition ofMotorola Mobility (MMI), but will still have some Android-driven challenges to deal with. The #1 Apple iPhone 5 Source With The Latest News, Rumors And Features For The Upcoming Apple iPhone 5! Check Back Daily For Up-To-The-Minute News! iPhone 4 replacement battery
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In the software area, we foresee Microsoft (MSFT) releasing Windows 8 next year, and we think the anticipation, reviews, and early results will be favorable. Are you searching for cheap car insurance ? We compare prices from over 120 insurers to get you our best deals on the market, cheap insurance plans are also available for senior citizen who are retiring and need to be insured for their health.
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In terms of IT services, we think companies with high levels of revenue exposure to the U.S. federal government will struggle in 2012.
We foresee above-normal levels of gridlock ahead of the presidential election. Companies that have exposure to the federal government include Computer Sciences (CSC) and Unisys (UIS). Furnished apartments anchorage for Rent – Find the perfect Furnished Anchorage apartment. Discover the most Anchorage apts with accurate
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As for the Internet, we expect Facebook to begin the process of an initial public offer in 2012 and Yahoo (YHOO) to move towards going private.
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We expect considerable merger and acquisitions activity involving companies large and small, public and private, domestic and international.
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1. Financial Statements Are Scorecards
There are millions of individual investors worldwide, and while a large percentage of these investors have chosen mutual funds as the vehicle of choice for their investing activities, a very large percentage of individual investors are also investing directly in stocks. Prudent investing practices dictate that we seek out quality companies with strong balance sheets, solidearnings and positive cash flows. Aznxmtg please tell everyone I am the webmaster thank!!
Whether you’re a do-it-yourself or rely on guidance from an investment professional, learning certain fundamental financial statement analysis skills can be very useful – it’s certainly not just for the experts. Over 30 years ago, businessman Robert Follet wrote a book entitled “How To Keep Score In Business” (1987). His principal point was that in business you keep score with dollars, and the scorecard is a financial statement. He recognized that “a lot of people don’t understand keeping score in business. They get mixed up about profits, assets, cash flow and return on investment.”
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The same thing could be said today about a large portion of the investing public, especially when it comes to identifying investment values in financial statements. But don’t let this intimidate you; it can be done. As Michael C. Thomsett says in “Mastering Fundamental Analysis” (1998):
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“That there is no secret is the biggest secret of Wall Street – and of any specialized industry. Very little in the financial world is so complex that you cannot grasp it. The fundamentals – as their name implies – are basic and relatively uncomplicated. The only factor complicating financial information is jargon, overly complex statistical analysis and complex formulas that don’t convey information any better than straight talk.” (For more information, see Introduction To Fundamental Analysis and What Are Fundamentals?)
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What follows is a brief discussion of 12 common financial statement characteristics to keep in mind before you start your analytical journey.
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2. What Financial Statements to Use
For investment analysis purposes, the financial statements that are used are the balance sheet, the income statement and the cash flow statement. The statements of shareholders’ equity and retained earnings, which are seldom presented, contain nice-to-know, but not critical, information, and are not used by financial analysts. A word of caution: there are those in the general investing public who tend to focus on just the income statement and the balance sheet, thereby relegating cash flow considerations to somewhat of a secondary status. That’s a mistake; for now, simply make a permanent mental note that the cash flow statement contains critically important analytical data. (To learn more, check out Reading The Balance Sheet, Understanding The Income Statement and The Essentials Of Cash Flow.)
3. Knowing What’s Behind the Numbers
The numbers in a company’s financials reflect real world events. These numbers and the financial ratios/indicators that are derived from them for investment analysis are easier to understand if you can visualize the underlying realities of this essentially quantitative information. For example, before you start crunching numbers, have an understanding of what the company does, its products and/or services, and the industry in which it operates.
4. The Diversity of Financial Reporting
Don’t expect financial statements to fit into a single mold. Many articles and books on financial statement analysis take a one-size-fits-all approach. The less-experienced investor is going to get lost when he or she encounters a presentation of accounts that falls outside the mainstream or so-called “typical” company. Simply remember that the diverse nature of business activities results in a diversity of financial statement presentations. This is particularly true of the balance sheet; the income and cash flow statements are less susceptible to this phenomenon.
5. The Challenge of Understanding Financial Jargon
The lack of any appreciable standardization of financial reporting terminology complicates the understanding of many financial statement account entries. This circumstance can be confusing for the beginning investor. There’s little hope that things will change on this issue in the foreseeable future, but a good financial dictionary can help considerably.
6. Accounting Is an Art, Not a Science
The presentation of a company’s financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is influenced by management estimates and judgments. In the best of circumstances, management is scrupulously honest and candid, while the outside auditors are demanding, strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be inherently found in the accounting process means that the prudent investor should take an inquiring and skeptical approach toward financial statement analysis. (For related content, see Don’t Forget To Read The Prospectus! and How To Read Footnotes – Part 2: Evaluating Accounting Risk.)
7. Two Key Accounting Conventions
Generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) are used to prepare financial statements. The sum total of these accounting concepts and assumptions is huge. For investors, a basic understanding of at least two of these conventions – historical cost and accrual accounting - is particularly important. According to GAAP, assets are valued at their purchase price (historical cost), which may be significantly different than their current market value. Revenues are recorded when goods or services are delivered and expenses recorded when incurred. Generally, this flow does not coincide with the actual receipt and disbursement of cash, which is why the cash flow becomes so important.
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